Paper Detail

Benchmarking LLM Agents on Meta-Analysis Articles from Nature Portfolio

Anzhe Xie, Weihang Su, Yujia Zhou, Yiqun Liu, Qingyao Ai

arxiv Score 17.3

Published 2026-06-15 · First seen 2026-06-16

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Abstract

Meta-analysis is a demanding form of evidence synthesis that combines literature retrieval, PI/ECO-guided study selection, and statistical aggregation. Its structured, verifiable workflow makes it an ideal substrate for evaluating systematic scientific reasoning, yet existing benchmarks lack ground truth across the full retrieval-screening-synthesis pipeline. We introduce MetaSyn, a dataset of 442 expert-curated meta-analyses from Nature Portfolio journals. Each entry pairs a research question with PI/ECO criteria, a retrieval corpus of 140k PubMed articles, verified positive studies, hard negatives that are topically similar but PI/ECO-ineligible, and complete search strategies and date bounds. Benchmarking twelve pipeline configurations (nine RAG variants and a protocol-driven agent) reveals a critical screening bottleneck: despite a retrieval ceiling of 90.9% recall at K=200, no system recovers more than 52.7% of ground-truth included literature. Current LLMs fail to reliably separate eligible studies from PI/ECO-failing distractors in pools of comparable topical relevance. Stage-attributed metrics capture where systems succeed and fail; a single end-to-end score does not.

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BibTeX

@article{xie2026benchmarking,
  title = {Benchmarking LLM Agents on Meta-Analysis Articles from Nature Portfolio},
  author = {Anzhe Xie and Weihang Su and Yujia Zhou and Yiqun Liu and Qingyao Ai},
  year = {2026},
  abstract = {Meta-analysis is a demanding form of evidence synthesis that combines literature retrieval, PI/ECO-guided study selection, and statistical aggregation. Its structured, verifiable workflow makes it an ideal substrate for evaluating systematic scientific reasoning, yet existing benchmarks lack ground truth across the full retrieval-screening-synthesis pipeline. We introduce MetaSyn, a dataset of 442 expert-curated meta-analyses from Nature Portfolio journals. Each entry pairs a research question w},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.17041},
  keywords = {cs.CL, cs.IR},
  eprint = {2606.17041},
  archiveprefix = {arXiv},
}

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