Paper Detail

On the Proper Treatment of Units in Surprisal Theory

Samuel Kiegeland, Vésteinn Snæbjarnarson, Tim Vieira, Ryan Cotterell

arxiv Score 8.2

Published 2026-04-30 · First seen 2026-05-01

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Abstract

Surprisal theory links human processing effort to the predictability of an upcoming linguistic unit, but empirical work often leaves the notion of a unit underspecified. In practice, experimental stimuli are segmented into linguistically motivated units (e.g., words), while pretrained language models assign probability mass to a fixed token alphabet that typically does not align with those units. As a result, surprisal-based predictors depend implicitly on ad hoc procedures that conflate two distinct modeling choices: the definition of the unit of analysis and the choice of regions of interest over which predictions are evaluated. In this paper, we disentangle these choices and give a unified framework for reasoning about surprisal over arbitrary unit inventories. We argue that surprisal-based analyses should make these choices explicit and treat tokenization as an implementation detail rather than a scientific primitive.

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BibTeX

@article{kiegeland2026proper,
  title = {On the Proper Treatment of Units in Surprisal Theory},
  author = {Samuel Kiegeland and Vésteinn Snæbjarnarson and Tim Vieira and Ryan Cotterell},
  year = {2026},
  abstract = {Surprisal theory links human processing effort to the predictability of an upcoming linguistic unit, but empirical work often leaves the notion of a unit underspecified. In practice, experimental stimuli are segmented into linguistically motivated units (e.g., words), while pretrained language models assign probability mass to a fixed token alphabet that typically does not align with those units. As a result, surprisal-based predictors depend implicitly on ad hoc procedures that conflate two dis},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.28147},
  keywords = {cs.CL},
  eprint = {2604.28147},
  archiveprefix = {arXiv},
}

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