Paper Detail

RL-Driven Sustainable Land-Use Allocation for the Lake Malawi Basin

Ying Yao

arxiv Score 13.8

Published 2026-04-04 · First seen 2026-04-07

Research Track A · General AI

Abstract

Unsustainable land-use practices in ecologically sensitive regions threaten biodiversity, water resources, and the livelihoods of millions. This paper presents a deep reinforcement learning (RL) framework for optimizing land-use allocation in the Lake Malawi Basin to maximize total ecosystem service value (ESV). Drawing on the benefit transfer methodology of Costanza et al., we assign biome-specific ESV coefficients -- locally anchored to a Malawi wetland valuation -- to nine land-cover classes derived from Sentinel-2 imagery. The RL environment models a 50x50 cell grid at 500m resolution, where a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) agent with action masking iteratively transfers land-use pixels between modifiable classes. The reward function combines per-cell ecological value with spatial coherence objectives: contiguity bonuses for ecologically connected land-use patches (forest, cropland, built area etc.) and buffer zone penalties for high-impact development adjacent to water bodies. We evaluate the framework across three scenarios: (i) pure ESV maximization, (ii) ESV with spatial reward shaping, and (iii) a regenerative agriculture policy scenario. Results demonstrate that the agent effectively learns to increase total ESV; that spatial reward shaping successfully steers allocations toward ecologically sound patterns, including homogeneous land-use clustering and slight forest consolidation near water bodies; and that the framework responds meaningfully to policy parameter changes, establishing its utility as a scenario-analysis tool for environmental planning.

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BibTeX

@article{yao2026rl,
  title = {RL-Driven Sustainable Land-Use Allocation for the Lake Malawi Basin},
  author = {Ying Yao},
  year = {2026},
  abstract = {Unsustainable land-use practices in ecologically sensitive regions threaten biodiversity, water resources, and the livelihoods of millions. This paper presents a deep reinforcement learning (RL) framework for optimizing land-use allocation in the Lake Malawi Basin to maximize total ecosystem service value (ESV). Drawing on the benefit transfer methodology of Costanza et al., we assign biome-specific ESV coefficients -- locally anchored to a Malawi wetland valuation -- to nine land-cover classes },
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03768},
  keywords = {cs.AI, cs.LG},
  eprint = {2604.03768},
  archiveprefix = {arXiv},
}

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